Thursday, January 12, 2012

Triple threat

There's a ton of bullishness around right now.  But,  my intuition tells me to lean the other direction.  In particular,  I am troubled by 3 signals that scream we are headed into a rough period for the financial markets:

1.  Latest reported rail traffic indicates a plunge in activity
2.  US Treasuries are signaling fear with yields going through the floor.
3.  The Baltic Dry Freight rate is plunging.

Revisit this post in mid-Feb.  Bet you my read of this mkt will be bang on.  I've been building a nice position in SDS for downside protection.   Its time to pick up the pace in that effort.

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